A Rules‑Based Approach to Unpredictable Markets
Our model is the result of years of research and extensive backtesting. It is built on a disciplined, systematic, and data‑driven process. We outline our approach below without revealing the secret sauce.
Our Guiding Principles
Three rules keep the process consistent and repeatable.
100% Systematic
Every signal is generated by predefined, rules‑based logic. This eliminates emotional decision‑making and keeps execution consistent.
Purely Technical Analysis
The model analyzes quantitative market data only. It does not consider news, earnings, or macroeconomic events.
Focused Universe
We pour all of our energy into only three securities. We'd rather be exceptional with a concentrated list than just "good" with many.
How the Model Interprets the Market
The model analyzes trend and momentum — aiming to align with prevailing conditions rather than guessing tops and bottoms. It often performs best when markets are trending, and is less effective during choppy, sideways conditions.
The model collects hourly market data from Sunday night (8p ET) to Friday night (8p ET). It evaluates several datapoints, with moving averages serving as the primary framework. Trade signals are potentially issued at the top of the hour during a daily trading window from 7a ET to 8p ET.
Markets evolve, so the model evolves with them. At the end of every year we run tens of thousands of all new backtests to incorporate the latest market data. If backtesting identifies a methodology that is meaningfully more robust, the model incorporates those changes for the following year.
When we update the model, the historical performance displayed on the site is recalculated to reflect the performance of the latest model. The annual performance of earlier models will remain available for reference on the Dashboard. A subscription means you’re following along with a living research project.
A Commitment to Continuous Improvement
We treat the system as an ongoing research project — measured, tested, and refined as conditions change.
Things to Keep in Mind
Clear expectations help you use this information responsibly.
Not a “Get Rich Quick” scheme: Trading volatile instruments can involve substantial risk. Backtested results are not a guarantee of future performance.
Not a “Perfect” system: No model can predict the future. This approach is built on probabilities and patterns that were profitable in historical data, but markets evolve. Patterns that were profitable historically may become less reliable over time.
Not financial advice: This service is an educational publication of informational signals. It is not a recommendation for any specific action in your personal portfolio.
Volatility & leverage: The securities we track can be highly volatile and may move quickly up or down. Some are leveraged instruments, which can amplify both gains and losses and lead to faster, larger price swings—especially during periods of elevated market volatility.
Your Path to a Disciplined Strategy
A paid subscription gives you instant access to the current model position and real-time trade signals for SOXL, TQQQ, and TSLA. You're one step away from taking emotion out of the equation and adding data-driven signals to your toolkit. It's time to choose a plan.
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